09 Feb 2010
NEW YORK/LONDON, Feb 8 (Reuters) - Sugar, coffee and cocoa futures rebounded on Monday as financial markets calmed, but analysts said jangled nerves from last week's sell off were not far below the surface.
"We're waiting to see where we go from here," said Larry Young, an analyst for brokerage Infinity Futures in
"Commodity prices are corks on an ocean at the moment," VM Group analyst Gary Mead, who pointed out that upheaval in financial markets linked to euro zone sovereign debt was a more important influence on sugar at the moment than its own supply and demand picture.
tonne.
Last Monday, raw sugar hit a 29-year peak at 30.40 cents, then slid 12 percent during the week to close at a 6-week low of 26.17 cents on Friday.
"It is a tentative rebound after the brutality we saw in the last few days. We got caught up in the reverberations going around the global economy," said Rabobank soft commodity trader Nick Hungate.
Dealers said sugar market fundamentals remained constructive with estimates emerging from a sugar conference in
Consultancy Kingsman SA raised its forecast for the 2009/10 deficit to 11.92 million tonnes from 8.3 million, but projected a surplus of 3.99 million in 2010/11. [ID:nSGE61707M]
Analysts said the outlook for 2010/11 hinged on whether
"If we get more monsoon problems in
COMMERCIAL BUYING BUOYS COFFEE AND
Cocoa futures were firm as the market looked to consolidate after a sharp decline last week. Dealers said industry buying had helped to underpin the market.
In top cocoa producer
They were estimated at around 16,000 tonnes Feb. 1 and 7, down from 31,981 tonnes in the same week a year ago.
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Source : Reuters
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