29 Oct 2008
On Tocom, rubber futures rebounded from this morning's decline to settle higher, helped by reports of upcoming production cuts by major producing countries, a weaker yen against the dollar and gains in crude prices, said a trader in
However, the potential for further volatility remains in coming days amid continued wider financial market turbulence, he added.
Tocom's new benchmark April RSS3 contract settled Y6.8 higher, at Y166.5 a kilogram.
On C-Com, rubber futures also rebounded to settle mostly higher, again supported by firmer crude oil prices and the weaker yen, said a trader in
However, weak spot markets and lingering concerns about slowing global demand will likely cap the upside in coming sessions, he said.
On the Shanghai Futures Exchange, rubber futures settled mostly higher as futures prices' decline to below production costs prompted short covering amid signals that a bottom is near, said Lin Hui, an analyst at Orient Futures Securities.
"CNY12,000 should be able to offer strong support in the short term, both technically and fundamentally," Lin said, adding, however, that SHFE rubber will find any rebound to be limited and short-lived as global financial markets may only be starting to stabilize.
On Sicom, all traded rubber contracts settled lower, in line with declines in other exchanges yesterday, when Sicom was closed for a public holiday in
RSS3 futures on the Agricultural Futures Exchange of Thailand settled mostly higher, in line with the rebound on the bellwether Tocom and SHFE markets, with the rebound in crude oil prices also helping to lift sentiment, said a trader in
Asian cash rubber prices were weaker, despite the rebound on Tocom, with buying interest muted amid expectations today's rally may prove short-lived.
Meanwhile recent volatility also damped interest, traders said.
The focus is now on tomorrow's meeting of the International Rubber Consortium on what measures the group - which represents the world's top three producing countries,
"Any indications that the market may stage a rebound from current levels would likely spark strong renewed buying interest," he said.
Asian Rubber Futures
Oct 28 Change from
Oct 27 Close
Tocom Apr RSS3 Y166.5/kg Up Y6.8*
C-Com Apr RSS3 Y168.9/kg Up Y5.9*
Shanghai Jan SCR5 CNY12,860/ton Up CNY105
Thai May RSS3 THB61.75/kg Up THB0.85
Sicom Nov RSS3 Untraded -
Sicom Nov TSR20 168 U.S cents/kg Dn 4.50 cents/kg**
*Note: The new April benchmark contracts on Tocom and C-Com began today, so previous settlement price refers to this morning's opening price **Note: Sicom was closed Monday for a public holiday in Singapore, so the previous close refers to Friday's close; Sicom rubber futures prices refer to the closing prices of the day, as the settlement prices aren't available.
The following are Tuesday's physical prices in
Grade Shipment Oct 28 Oct 27
Bids Offers Bids Offers
RSS3 Nov - 180-183 - 185
STR20 Nov - 177-180 - 183-185
SIR20 Nov - 167.5 - 178.5
SMR20 Nov - 177.5-180 - 183-185
USS3 Oct THB56.86/kg THB57.74/kg
Source : Dow Jones
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